The module aims to illustrate how design under uncertainty can help in the modelling and design of energy systems. The first part of the module will cover the necessary fundamentals of statistics. Subsequently, different…
Scheda dell'insegnamento
Obiettivi formativi
The module aims to illustrate how design under uncertainty can help in the modelling and design of energy systems. The first part of the module will cover the necessary fundamentals of statistics. Subsequently, different uncertainty quantification methods will be presented, starting from sampling methods such as Monte Carlo and continuing with various approximate methods. An overview of robust design will be provided, focusing on the application of uncertainty quantification methods in optimization problems. In the second part of the course, advanced techniques for Data Driven monitoring will be presented. Both methods will be applied to different case studies.
Programma
The course provides the fundamentals for robust design of engineering systems and related procedures for monitoring and diagnostics, through deterministic and stochastic approaches. Practical examples are derived from the fields of mechanical engineering and energy systems.
Modalità d'esame
The first part on robust design requires two reports describing analyses performed by the students with the aid of programming codes shared with them during the class.
The second part on monitoring and diagnostics requires an oral exam.
Students with valid certifications for Specific Learning Disorders (SLDs), disabilities or other educational needs are invited to contact the teacher and the School's contact person for disability at the beginning of teaching to agree on possible teaching arrangements that, while respecting the teaching objectives, take into account individual learning patterns. Contacts of the teacher and the School's disability contact person can be found at the following link Comitato di Ateneo per l’inclusione delle studentesse e degli studenti con disabilità o con DSA | UniGe | Università di Genova
Learning outcomes are assessed through the evaluation of written reports (for the robust design part) and the oral exam (for the monitoring and diagnostics part). Each learning outcome will be verified through specific questions and discussion of case studies, with particular attention to clarity of exposition, use of technical terminology, and the ability to apply the methods learned to real problems.
Testi di riferimento
Spiegel, M.R., Schiller, L.J.(1999), Statistics, McGraw Hill, NYC
Montgomery, D.C. (2000), Design and Analysis of Experiments, John Wiley & Sons, New York
Ralph C. Smith (2013), Uncertainty Quantification: Theory, Implementation, and Applications
T.J. Sullivan (2015), Introduction to Uncertainty Quantification”, Springer
Ghanem, Higdon, Owhadi, (2017), Handbook of Uncertainty Quantification, Springer
Souza de Cursi, Sampaio, (2015), Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modeling with Matlab, ISTE Press – Elsevier
L. Eriksson, E. Johansson, N. Kettaneh-Wold, C. Wikström, and S. Wold (2001), Design of Experiments
Marler, R. T., and Arora, J. S., 2004 “Survey of Multi-Objective Optimization Methods for Engineering” Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, 26(6), pp.269.295
Myers, R. H., and Montgomery, D. C., 2002, “Response Surface Methodology: Process and Product Optimization Using Designed Experiments” John Wiley & Sons Inc, USA.
Law, A.l., Kelton, W. D., 1991, “Simulation Modeling and Analysis”, Mc Graw Hill
Mäkelä, M., 2017, “Experimental Design and Response Surface Methodology in Energy Applications: A Tutorial Review” Energy Conversion and Management, 151(May), pp. 630–640.
Kleijnen, J. P. C., 2005, “An Overview of the Design and Analysis of Simulation Experiments for Sensitivity Analysis” Eur. J. Oper. Res., 164(2), pp. 287–300.
Tagushi, G., Yokoyama, Y., and Wu, Y., 1993, “Taguchi Methods: Design of Experiments”
K. Kim, M.R. von Spakovsky, M. Wang, D.J. Nelson, 2012. “Dynamic optimization under uncertainty of the synthesis/design and operation/control of a proton exchange membrane fuel cell system, Journal of Power Sources, 205, pp. 252–263
Navarro, M., Witteveen, J., Blom, J., 2014. “Polynomial chaos expansion for general multivariate distributions with correlated variables”
Seshadri, P., Narayan, A., Mahadevan, S., 2016. “Effectively Subsampled Quadratures For Least Squares Polynomial Approximations”. ArXiv e-prints
Giunta, A.A., Eldred, M.S., Castro, J.P., 2004. “Uncertainty quantification using response surface approximations”, 9th ASCE Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability
M. Cavazzuti, Optimization Methods: From Theory to Design, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-31187-1_3, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, 2013.
Codice insegnamento 98218