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Past exams till 2020

Politecnico di Milano mathematical engineering - ingegneria matematica 2020
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This document compiles exercises and solutions for Stochastic Dynamical Models, covering fundamental concepts and applications of Markov chains. Topics include discrete and continuous-time Markov chain analysis, focusing on transition matrices, state classification (recurrence, transience), invariant distributions, and mean passage times. Practical problems model real-world scenarios like queueing systems (post office, ATM), labor markets, and production processes. Key mathematical tools involve solving systems for stationary distributions, utilizing characteristic equations, and applying martingale theory with stopping theorems to compute expected values and absorption probabilities. This resource is essential for understanding the dynamics and long-term behavior of stochastic systems.
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  • This document provides a comprehensive collection of exercises and solutions from various exams on Stochastic Dynamical Models.
  • Discrete-Time Markov Chains (DTMC):
    • Focuses on constructing transition matrices and classifying states as recurrent or transient.
    • Covers the computation of invariant distributions and mean arrival/sojourn times.
    • Includes problems on martingales and applying stopping theorems for expected values.
    • Examples include post office queues, bug movement in a square, and gambler's ruin problems.
  • Continuous-Time Markov Chains (CTMC):
    • Explores the development of transition rate (Q) matrices and transition probability P(t) matrices.
    • Addresses irreducibility, invariant densities, and mean arrival/waiting times in continuous settings.
    • Martingale properties and stopping theorems are applied to CTMCs.
    • Applications range from ATM cash machines and car washing systems to labor market dynamics and article publishing processes.
  • Key Concepts and Techniques:
    • State Classification: Identifying recurrent, transient, and absorbing states and classes.
    • Invariant Distributions: Solving systems of linear equations (e.g., πP = π or πQ = 0) to find stationary probabilities.
    • Mean Passage Times: Calculating average times to reach specific states or sets of states, often using linear systems or stopping theorems.
    • Martingales: Demonstrating martingale properties for various processes and utilizing them with stopping theorems (e.g., E[M_T] = E[M_0]).
    • Characteristic Equations: Employed for solving difference equations arising from mean time computations or invariant distributions.
    • Stopping Theorems: A crucial tool for computing expected values at stopping times.
  • The problems presented offer diverse scenarios, requiring a solid understanding of Markov chain theory and its analytical methods for predicting long-term behavior and probabilities.

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